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Post by kaycali86 on Jun 28, 2017 13:47:56 GMT -5
What should we do with gold? Seems like ethy has 2 as well. Unsure.
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Post by kaycali86 on Jun 28, 2017 22:05:09 GMT -5
Seems joshua told ethy he wants gold and water. Seems like joshua barely interacts with ppl
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Post by Joseph on Jun 29, 2017 0:05:22 GMT -5
I've decided to keep my bomb/entire hand a secret from everyone but you. This is what I have so far: Win conditions: -Arnold = steel -Ethy = steel -Joshua gold/water -Rexxy = wood/bomb -Trevor = rice -Joseph = gold/water -Kevin = coal Bomb holders: Ethy (1), Arnold (1), Joseph (1), (1) Unused: oil Other Notes: Arnold -Wants steel -Has no gold Ethy -Wants a steel for 1 gold he has Joshua -"Might" have water/steel Rexxy -Offering to exchange 1 bomb for his 2 water Trevor -Has 2 water -Wants rice
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Post by Joseph on Jun 29, 2017 0:13:41 GMT -5
Current player inventories (Confirmed):
Kevin: COAL, COAL, WOOD, WATER, GOLD, GOLD, GOLD Joseph: GOLD, GOLD, WATER, WATER, WATER, WATER, BOMB Arnold: OIL, BOMB (some combination of steel, bomb, rice, oil) (no water/gold) Trevor: RICE, RICE, OIL, COAL (no gold/steel) Ethy: STEEL, BOMB (no water, no more gold) Rexxy: WOOD, WOOD (no gold) Joshua: OIL (no water/gold)
POTENTIAL LIARS ABOUT GOLD: Ethy: STEEL, BOMB (no water, no more gold) Rexxy: WATER, WATER, (no gold) Joshua: OIL (no water/gold)
POTENTIAL LIARS ABOUT WATER: Ethy: STEEL, BOMB (no water, no more gold) Joshua: OIL (no water/gold)
Missing resources:
TOTAL (7): COAL (4) STEEL (6) WOOD (4)
TOTAL (6): OIL (3) RICE (4) WATER (1) GOLD (1)
TOTAL (4): BOMB (1)
Additional Notes:
Ethy: mentioned wanting steel and oil Rexxy: aggressively looking for wood/bomb Arnold: has no water/gold/wood Joshua: wants oil? Trevor: wants rice, has no gold
Gonna edit this post once I further calculate who has what based on the original distribution/current trades
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Post by kaycali86 on Jun 29, 2017 0:16:33 GMT -5
**EDIT** ;P I THINK Rexxy has bomb, as Ethy stated that he was looking for bomb, similar to Arnold, but unsure
Joshua could have water, as Ethy told me that Joshua was interested in Gold/Water.
Trevor does have one coal. I forgot he said he had two, but we did one individual trade.
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Post by Joseph on Jun 29, 2017 0:21:33 GMT -5
I'm gonna lie about having a bomb.
Not sure how to respond to Rexxy yet, but I want to prevent someone from winning with bombs. Keeping my bomb a secret/not trading it is my counter strategy. Whoever is trying to monopolize the bombs should end up last place this way. Also, I checked in my confessional and you can only pay 3 garnets to disarm a bomb in your hand. No where else.
I'm leaning towards winning with a normal resource and timing the trade correctly. Hoping to get all 7 of one resource between the 2 of us, and then have the final trade between us. I think we should have an advantage in replying quick enough since we're in the same time zone.
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Post by Joseph on Jun 29, 2017 0:23:23 GMT -5
I think that's a reasonable deduction! Willing to trade 2 of one resource for a bomb is a huge tell.
I want to deduce out what each player has first (through assumptions etc) before moving forward with trades to formulate a trading order strategy.
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Post by Joseph on Jun 29, 2017 0:24:11 GMT -5
Be sure to refresh every while or so since I'm gonna edit the master inventory list or else there'd be hella posts aha.
EDIT:
Ok assuming things is too hard and leaves too many possibilities open.
Okay so one thing I see is that Rexxy has 2 water, Trevor has 2 water, you have 1 water. This means that Joshua most likely has the other 2.
Thinking of approaching Rexxy/Trevor/Joshua by saying that I have gold, wood, rice, steel, oil and willing to offer any of these for the water. Caveat is that Trevor gets the rice ppb.
Thoughts?
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Post by Joseph on Jun 29, 2017 0:49:39 GMT -5
I just sent messages to Joshua/Rexxy that I have gold/wood/steel/water/oil and willing to trade for water.
Also asked Arnold if he has wood/oil and is willing to trade for my steel.
Not gonna respond to Ethy.
Will wait to message Trevor to trade my rice for his 2 water until I get responses from Joshua/Rexxy.
EDIT:
omg I just lied to Rexxy saying I don't have a bomb.... I hope this doesn't backfire in a huge way... D;
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Post by Joseph on Jun 29, 2017 1:12:27 GMT -5
Arnold has 1 oil, Rexxy is aggressively asking for 2 wood. Updated in inventory list.
EDIT:
Don't trade away your wood, I'm trying to see if I can gather all the water
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Post by kaycali86 on Jun 29, 2017 1:13:58 GMT -5
Haha, I have 2 woods . Would have to first inquire Rexxy would offer for one wood. Not revealing have 2 of either Wood or Gold Okay cool, yeah looking at updated list. It's going to be real hard to get water if we can't get Joshua to trade with any of us.
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Post by Joseph on Jun 29, 2017 19:59:51 GMT -5
Joshua has at least 1 gold, so either Joshua/Trevor/Rexxy have the last 2 gold.
Gonna check in and see what they say.
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Post by kaycali86 on Jun 29, 2017 20:26:27 GMT -5
Okay sounds good.
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Post by Joseph on Jun 30, 2017 17:51:47 GMT -5
Someone is lying between Rexxy/Trevor/Joshua/Ethy because no one is fessing up to having the last 2 gold. No idea where the other 2 water are either.
Joshua is gonna trade me 1 gold for 1 oil.
Gonna offer 1 steel to Ethy for 1 gold.
Rexxy wants to trade 2 water for 2 wood. Would you be willing to do trade 1 wood for my gold, so I can get the 2 water from Rexxy? You are still preventing Rexxy from winning with wood.
EDIT:
I have a feeling the twist is that the winner will be the person who has the most of any resource not including bombs. Losing condition won't change imo.
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Post by kaycali86 on Jun 30, 2017 17:58:58 GMT -5
Ok i will trade one wood.
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